O mercado de carne suína em Santa Catarina: análise de oferta e demanda mensais de 2006 a 2012

Abstract

Pig farming is one of the activities of Brazilian agribusiness, which has been showing promising results in recent years, occupying the fourth position in terms of production at an international level in total pork production. Santa Catarina is the main producer of pork in Brazil, with national and international prominence in the production of the product. The pig farming activity is carried out in the State of Santa Catarina by a large majority of family farmers who see the activity as the main source of income for their families. As the supply and demand for a given product are studied in economics, this work aims to estimate and analyze demand equations and pork supply in the State of Santa Catarina from January 2006 to December 2012. such equations will be used the econometric methodology simultaneous equations, trying to demonstrate the impact of the explanatory variables on the supply and demand of pork meat. The results indicated that with a positive variation in the pork price of 1%, the quantity demanded decreases by 0.21% and causes the quantity supplied to increase by 0.29%. With a positive variation of 1% in the price of pork, the product substitutes beef, increasing the quantity of beef demanded by 0.46%. As for income, with a positive variation of 1%, it provides a decrease of 0.09% in the quantity demanded of pork, being a product of low value for the Santa Catarina consumer. The Supply function, in addition to price, is also affected by inputs, which with a 1% increase in the price of basic inputs, tend to decrease by 0.06% in the quantity supplied. With a positive variation of 1% of Salary, it decreases by 0.006% of the quantity offered, but it is not very impactful, since it is a sector developed by family agriculture. And exports with a positive variation of 1% increase the quantity of pork offered by 0.04%.